Original title: The Luckiest GoldenEye Speedrun Explained
I used the title from DeArrow.
TL;DW written with claude.ai:
The video explains the world record GoldenEye 007 speedrun for the Frigate level on Secret Agent difficulty by top player Perfect Ace, who achieved an untied world record time of 1:03. A major element of randomness in Frigate comes from hostage escape times, which can vary wildly. The video analyzes the theoretical probability of hostages escaping in time to allow a 1:03 completion, finding a baseline best case odds of just 2%, (…)
spoiler
but also runs an experiment with 200 test runs to determine the empirical odds. Factoring in real-world obstacles that delay hostages, the final calculated probability of all elements aligning for Ace’s 1:03 world record pace is around 0.2%, or roughly 1 in 500 runs, showing how extraordinarily lucky this run was. :::/watch?v=hsyXjZ09OFI
Aditional notes: https://pastebin.com/61P2UJjn