• LetMeEatCake@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    3
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    The primary will almost certainly be de facto decided by the end of March. There’s a good chance it will be de facto over by mid February, if any candidate dominates the early states.

    Of the 2467 delegates up, 1250 of them will have been distributed by March 12. Republicans rules on delegate distribution heavily favor the candidate in the lead as well. No primaries/caucuses have been scheduled yet after March 12, but expect the bulk of the remainder to be in the other half of March and all of April.

    The primary is all but certain to be over by May 2024.

    • Mirshe@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      5
      ·
      1 year ago

      And I’m sure they’re all banking on Trump to win so they can pull the “you can’t run a major court trial with a presidential nominee as the defendant” card.