• Scooter411@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    The 2016 polls were not inaccurate though. They said Trump had a small chance at victory, and he pulled it off. They never said it was impossible, they just said smart money was on Hillary.

    • oiez@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Ya, if I remember right FiveThirtyEight had Trump at around 30% chance in 2016, so slightly unlikely but not exactly a crazy longshot.

      • itsJoelle@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        They were one of the few that gave him that large of a margin, iirc. The rest were in the 90’s for Hillary.

    • harpuajim@lemmy.ml
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      1 year ago

      The national polling was also pretty accurate, it was the state polling that missed. Trump squeezed out wins in 4 states by a combined total of 50,000 votes. Nationally though the numbers were within their prediction.